Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.049790 0.056982 0.064410 0.072620 0.081412 0.090514 0.100620
2025-06-29 0.039988 0.050856 0.062725 0.076494 0.091883 0.108422 0.127413
2025-07-06 0.031809 0.044511 0.059072 0.076641 0.096933 0.119343 0.145686
2025-07-13 0.029360 0.044069 0.061524 0.083148 0.108660 0.137319 0.171486
2025-07-20 0.023201 0.038205 0.056817 0.080628 0.109429 0.142415 0.182368
2025-07-27 0.020995 0.037018 0.057529 0.084351 0.117333 0.155580 0.202369
2025-08-03 0.018010 0.034376 0.056087 0.085163 0.121541 0.164272 0.217077
2025-08-10 0.015320 0.031784 0.054431 0.085474 0.124956 0.171891 0.230428
2025-08-17 0.012579 0.028735 0.051877 0.084394 0.126464 0.177085 0.240807
2025-08-24 0.009450 0.024586 0.047429 0.080519 0.124207 0.177519 0.245343
2025-08-31 0.007234 0.021527 0.044235 0.078074 0.123568 0.179775 0.251936
2025-09-07 0.006002 0.019986 0.043133 0.078372 0.126388 0.186244 0.263590
2025-09-14 0.004707 0.018200 0.041718 0.078458 0.129312 0.193362 0.276743
2025-09-21 0.004323 0.018252 0.043247 0.082843 0.138106 0.208083 0.299529
2025-09-28 0.003312 0.016654 0.041947 0.083041 0.141242 0.215632 0.313490
2025-10-05 0.003404 0.017714 0.045124 0.089861 0.153388 0.234721 0.341838
2025-10-12 0.002248 0.015230 0.042039 0.087224 0.152551 0.237134 0.349406
2025-10-19 0.002025 0.015238 0.043295 0.091120 0.160694 0.251119 0.371463
2025-10-26 0.001534 0.014221 0.042601 0.091970 0.164582 0.259588 0.386609
2025-11-02 0.001095 0.013114 0.041618 0.092295 0.167688 0.267015 0.400438
2025-11-09 0.000664 0.011652 0.039785 0.091166 0.168666 0.271609 0.410654
2025-11-16 0.000253 0.009503 0.036267 0.087110 0.165313 0.270376 0.413366
2025-11-23 0.000071 0.007974 0.033773 0.084549 0.163979 0.271724 0.419298